Claim9c7c3bbdfe2e9dd066baef5cc1ef8685501d0f73d83a10b31d730e6a53aaf844
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Scaling Allen & Tucker's 10-day individual-level effect to 5–15% population-level contribution assumes linear extrapolation, no decay over 12 years, and uniform exposure persistence that the framing identifies as unestablished.
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