European precipitation declines by −0.028 mm d−1 per decade through the dynamic component, while the thermodynamic component offsets this drying by only 6% (0.002 mm d−1 per decade).
Evidence (2)
European summer drying largely driven by atmospheric circulation changes since the 1980s — Partitioning post-1980 hydroclimate trends between circulation and thermodynamic forcing
precipitation trends are dominated by the dynamic component
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02050-w#unit-3-p5
European summer drying largely driven by atmospheric circulation changes since the 1980s — Partitioning post-1980 hydroclimate trends between circulation and thermodynamic forcing
2). Summer precipitation is slightly lower in HIST than in NAT, but both exhibit weak negative trends superimposed on strong interannual variability. At the European scale, precipitation trends are dominated by the dynamic component, resulting in a precipitation decline of −0.028 mm d −1 per decade, whereas the thermodynamic trend offsets the drying by only 6% (0.002 mm d −1 per decade).
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02050-w#unit-3-p5
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