Across the domain, circulation-induced summer soil-moisture conditions and the thermodynamic soil-moisture component (PD–NAT) have a significant positive correlation of 0.62.

Evidence (2)

European summer drying largely driven by atmospheric circulation changes since the 1980s — Dynamic warm and dry conditions amplify thermodynamic drying

There is a significant positive correlation of 0.62 over the whole domain

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02050-w#unit-5-p3

European summer drying largely driven by atmospheric circulation changes since the 1980s — Dynamic warm and dry conditions amplify thermodynamic drying

There is a significant positive correlation of 0.62 over the whole domain between JJA soil moisture (represented by the mean of the PD and NAT simulations to isolate the circulation-induced anomaly independent WR2 WR3 LENS2 ERA5 of the forcing scenario) and the thermodynamic component of soil moisture (PD–NAT; Fig.

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02050-w#unit-5-p3

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