Claim364b930b1c08dbe59dfe38ecd467228c42d8ee807a91ed0113a0f30f9fdfb936·Paper reconstruction — Dunkl, Bastos & Sippel (2026), European summer drying

Claim

Soil moisture declines by −0.41 mm per decade in HIST and −0.23 mm per decade in NAT, implying a 55% dynamic contribution.

Evidence (1)

European summer drying largely driven by atmospheric circulation changes since the 1980s — Partitioning post-1980 hydroclimate trends between circulation and thermodynamic forcing
Similar to temperature, soil moisture shows a negative trend after 1980, with drying rates of −0.41 mm per decade in HIST and −0.23 mm per decade in NAT, implying a 55% dynamic contribution.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02050-w#unit-3-p6

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