Claim34dd15b9fbd4b16154f9a31bd4ae12a498f0bec1bfab34175ffc05e628c2cd43·Paper reconstruction — Dunkl, Bastos & Sippel (2026), European summer drying

Claim

Monthly VPD anomalies in HIST and ERA5 correlate at 0.73, and JJA VPD trends are similar in HIST, LENS2 and ERA5.

Evidence (2)

European summer drying largely driven by atmospheric circulation changes since the 1980s — Circulation-storyline design and validation of nudged simulations

JJA VPD trends are similar between HIST, LENS2 and ERA5

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02050-w#unit-2-p12

European summer drying largely driven by atmospheric circulation changes since the 1980s — Circulation-storyline design and validation of nudged simulations

Monthly VPD anomalies have a Pearson correlation of 0.73 between HIST and ERA5 (Fig. 1g), and JJA VPD trends are similar between HIST, LENS2 and ERA5 (Fig. 1h).

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-02050-w#unit-2-p12

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