aif version: AIF-Core-2011
mesh aif profile: 1.0
exported at: 2026-08-30T19:16:13.765Z
attestation:
  identifier: wPik1IsA
  argument id: cmonfxo9d00238c3fema3l9cu
  permalink: https://www.isonomia.app/a/wPik1IsA
  version: 1
  immutable permalink: https://www.isonomia.app/a/wPik1IsA@224d5cba640f3bcb89b024bc68d5d66ff581094c2742ea96450990453e87494b
  iso id: iso:argument:wPik1IsA
  iso url: https://www.isonomia.app/iso/argument/wPik1IsA
  retrieved at: 2026-08-30T19:16:13.634Z
  created at: 2026-05-01T21:44:33.553Z
  updated at: 2026-05-01T21:44:33.553Z
  conclusion:
    claim id: cmonfvbb7000t8c3fhwus1hx8
    text: Precautionary policy enacted in the absence of established causal evidence systematically produces policy whack-a-mole: each new candidate harm (phones, video games, fluoride, vaccines, sugar) generates its own precautionary regime, the regimes accumulate, and the public-health institutions that issued them lose credibility when the underlying causal claims fail to consolidate. The means proposed in the synthesis are therefore not effective at the goal the synthesis claims to serve.
  scheme:
    id: cmghcusvd000lzq6mf0qmkrnf
    key: negative_consequences
    name: Argument from Negative Consequences
    canonical key: negative_consequences
    catalogue health:
      is argument pattern: true
      is dialogue meta: false
      is test placeholder: false
      canonical key: negative_consequences
      cluster tag missing: false
      fingerprint materialised: true
  evidence: UNICEF Innocenti — Report Card 17: Places and Spaces (2022)
    evidence id: cmonfxpf400268c3f9f19iry9
    uri: https://www.unicef.org/innocenti/reports/innocenti-report-card-17
    citation: Children's well-being depends on multiple, interacting environmental factors; no single policy lever is sufficient.
  structured citations: UNICEF Innocenti — Report Card 17: Places and Spaces (2022)
    id: cmonfxpf400268c3f9f19iry9
    url: https://www.unicef.org/innocenti/reports/innocenti-report-card-17
    publisher: unicef.org
    accessed at: 2026-05-01T21:44:36.235Z
    quote: Children's well-being depends on multiple, interacting environmental factors; no single policy lever is sufficient.
    quote anchor:
      selector: Children's well-being depends on multiple, interacting environmental factors; no single policy lever is sufficient.
      type: text-quote
  critical questions:
    scheme key: negative_consequences
    total: 3
    unanswered:
      cq key: NC.LIKELIHOOD
      text: Are the stated bad consequences likely to occur?
      attack kind: UNDERCUTS
      scheme key: negative_consequences
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: missing
    unanswered:
      cq key: NC.MITIGATION
      text: Can the bad effects be mitigated so they are acceptable?
      attack kind: REBUTS
      scheme key: negative_consequences
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: missing
    unanswered:
      cq key: NC.TRADEOFFS
      text: Are there benefits that outweigh the bad effects?
      attack kind: REBUTS
      scheme key: negative_consequences
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: missing
  dialectical status:
    incoming attacks: 0
    incoming supports: 0
    incoming attack edges: 0
    critical questions required: 3
    critical questions answered: 1
    critical questions open: 2
    standing score: 0.667
    is tested: false
    testedness: lightly_tested
    standing state: untested-supported
    standing depth:
      challengers: 0
      independent reviewers: 0
      confidence: thin
    fitness breakdown:
      total: 1.25
      weights:
        cq answered: 1
        support edges: 0.5
        attack edges: -0.7
        attack c as: -1
        evidence with provenance: 0.25
  deliberation: Showcase: Smartphones, social media, and adolescent mental health
    id: cmokxn8sk00008c31xk97r1ap
  author:
    id: TODO-opp1-auth-id
    kind: HUMAN
round trip soundness:
  scheme key: negative_consequences
  groups:
    ORDINARY:
      cq count: 3
      aif exposure: absent
    ASSUMPTION:
      cq count: 0
      aif exposure: absent
    EXCEPTION:
      cq count: 0
      aif exposure: absent
  lossy: true

cmonfvbb7000t8c3fhwus1hx8
type: InformationNode
text: Precautionary policy enacted in the absence of established causal evidence systematically produces policy whack-a-mole: each new candidate harm (phones, video games, fluoride, vaccines, sugar) generates its own precautionary regime, the regimes accumulate, and the public-health institutions that issued them lose credibility when the underlying causal claims fail to consolidate. The means proposed in the synthesis are therefore not effective at the goal the synthesis claims to serve.

Conclusion
from: S:cmonfxo9d00238c3fema3l9cu
to: I:cmonfvbb7000t8c3fhwus1hx8

PR.MEANS EFFECTIVE
type: CriticalQuestion
key: PR.MEANS_EFFECTIVE
status: answered

hasCriticalQuestion
from: S:cmonfxo9d00238c3fema3l9cu

count: 1
weight: 1
contribution: 1

count: 0
weight: 0.5
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: -0.7
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: -1
contribution: 0

count: 1
weight: 0.25
contribution: 0.25