aif version: AIF-Core-2011
mesh aif profile: 1.0
exported at: 2026-08-30T19:16:52.395Z
attestation:
  identifier: srpgrnxu
  argument id: cmpuxpzno001a8cevwrmkaleb
  permalink: https://www.isonomia.app/a/srpgrnxu
  version: 1
  immutable permalink: https://www.isonomia.app/a/srpgrnxu@a589690fbf294c07013b28bb8bd8f04529a9a5930761ed539af4381649f0b85e
  iso id: iso:argument:srpgrnxu
  iso url: https://www.isonomia.app/iso/argument/srpgrnxu
  retrieved at: 2026-08-30T19:16:52.241Z
  created at: 2026-06-01T08:16:33.732Z
  updated at: 2026-06-01T08:16:33.732Z
  conclusion:
    claim id: cmpuxpxsi00118cevppo16oqj
    text: The net welfare effect of congestion pricing, including its distributional impact, is positive on the condition that revenue is recycled into transit and targeted relief and that exemptions stay narrow; it is not automatically equitable by design.
  premises:
    claim id: cmpuxpi7d000k8cevm5ytjz8n
    text: By reducing zone traffic, cordon congestion pricing causally produces cleaner air, fewer crashes and traffic deaths, faster transit and freight movement, and a large stream of dedicated revenue.
    is implicit: false
  premises:
    claim id: cmpuxpyb900138cev98sn63yc
    text: Distributional analyses (RAND; UC Institute of Transportation Studies) find ultimate incidence depends on revenue use: recycling into transit and rebates makes the package net-progressive, because lower-income residents disproportionately ride transit and bear the pollution that falls, and NYC's air-quality gains were largest in dense corridors.
    is implicit: false
  premises:
    claim id: cmpuxpydw00178cevks5l3gjc
    text: A flat toll is regressive at the point of payment: it takes a larger income share from lower-income drivers, some of whom lack good transit alternatives, which is the standard and legitimate equity objection.
    is implicit: false
  scheme: Cause to Effect
    id: cmhuz195z0002g1yoe7h3hlpz
    key: cause_to_effect
    name: Causal Reasoning
    canonical key: cause_to_effect
    catalogue health:
      is argument pattern: true
      is dialogue meta: false
      is test placeholder: false
      canonical key: cause_to_effect
      cluster tag missing: false
      fingerprint materialised: true
  critical questions:
    scheme key: cause_to_effect
    total: 5
    unanswered:
      cq key: alternative_causes
      text: Could a different cause produce the same effect E in this case?
      attack kind: UNDERCUTS
      scheme key: cause_to_effect
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: true
      answer author kind: AI
      status: missing
    unanswered:
      cq key: causal_mechanism
      text: Is there a plausible causal mechanism by which C could bring about E?
      attack kind: UNDERMINES
      scheme key: cause_to_effect
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: true
      answer author kind: AI
      status: missing
    unanswered:
      cq key: causal_strength
      text: How strong is the causal generalization linking C to E? Are there documented cases where C does not produce E?
      attack kind: UNDERCUTS
      scheme key: cause_to_effect
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: true
      answer author kind: AI
      status: missing
    unanswered:
      cq key: intervening_factors
      text: Are there intervening or confounding factors that could interfere with the causal chain from C to E?
      attack kind: UNDERCUTS
      scheme key: cause_to_effect
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: true
      answer author kind: AI
      status: missing
    unanswered:
      cq key: post_hoc
      text: Is the apparent link between C and E merely a post hoc correlation rather than a causal relation?
      attack kind: UNDERCUTS
      scheme key: cause_to_effect
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: true
      answer author kind: AI
      status: missing
  dialectical status:
    incoming attacks: 0
    incoming supports: 0
    incoming attack edges: 0
    critical questions required: 5
    critical questions answered: 0
    critical questions open: 5
    standing score: 0.5
    is tested: false
    testedness: untested
    standing state: untested-default
    standing depth:
      challengers: 0
      independent reviewers: 0
      confidence: thin
    fitness breakdown:
      total: 0
      weights:
        cq answered: 1
        support edges: 0.5
        attack edges: -0.7
        attack c as: -1
        evidence with provenance: 0.25
  deliberation: My Arguments
    id: cmp6823ov00008cbr3jjscs6o
  author:
    id: mcp-bot
    display name: Isonomia MCP Bot
    kind: AI
    ai provenance:
      via: mcp
      tool: propose_structured_argument
      created at: 2026-06-01T08:16:33.729Z
round trip soundness:
  scheme key: cause_to_effect
  groups:
    ORDINARY:
      cq count: 5
      aif exposure: exposed
    ASSUMPTION:
      cq count: 0
      aif exposure: absent
    EXCEPTION:
      cq count: 0
      aif exposure: absent
  lossy: false

cmpuxpi7d000k8cevm5ytjz8n
type: InformationNode
text: By reducing zone traffic, cordon congestion pricing causally produces cleaner air, fewer crashes and traffic deaths, faster transit and freight movement, and a large stream of dedicated revenue.

cmpuxpxsi00118cevppo16oqj
type: InformationNode
text: The net welfare effect of congestion pricing, including its distributional impact, is positive on the condition that revenue is recycled into transit and targeted relief and that exemptions stay narrow; it is not automatically equitable by design.

cmpuxpyb900138cev98sn63yc
type: InformationNode
text: Distributional analyses (RAND; UC Institute of Transportation Studies) find ultimate incidence depends on revenue use: recycling into transit and rebates makes the package net-progressive, because lower-income residents disproportionately ride transit and bear the pollution that falls, and NYC's air-quality gains were largest in dense corridors.

cmpuxpydw00178cevks5l3gjc
type: InformationNode
text: A flat toll is regressive at the point of payment: it takes a larger income share from lower-income drivers, some of whom lack good transit alternatives, which is the standard and legitimate equity objection.

cmpuxpzno001a8cevwrmkaleb
type: RA
type: cause to effect
uses scheme: cause_to_effect
name: Causal Reasoning
applies scheme key: cause_to_effect

Premise
from: I:cmpuxpi7d000k8cevm5ytjz8n
to: S:cmpuxpzno001a8cevwrmkaleb

Premise
from: I:cmpuxpyb900138cev98sn63yc
to: S:cmpuxpzno001a8cevwrmkaleb

Premise
from: I:cmpuxpydw00178cevks5l3gjc
to: S:cmpuxpzno001a8cevwrmkaleb

Conclusion
from: S:cmpuxpzno001a8cevwrmkaleb
to: I:cmpuxpxsi00118cevppo16oqj

count: 0
weight: 1
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: 0.5
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: -0.7
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: -1
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: 0.25
contribution: 0