aif version: AIF-Core-2011
mesh aif profile: 1.0
exported at: 2026-08-30T19:15:50.053Z
attestation:
  identifier: m1N91Ltk
  argument id: cmiy5xc040005g184fnhkvxpm
  permalink: https://www.isonomia.app/a/m1N91Ltk
  version: 1
  immutable permalink: https://www.isonomia.app/a/m1N91Ltk@f605f1a1c06d0350305dfee8b3ffc2fb791bdf727aac0a3981954a7c57720d37
  iso id: iso:argument:m1N91Ltk
  iso url: https://www.isonomia.app/iso/argument/m1N91Ltk
  retrieved at: 2026-08-30T19:15:49.893Z
  created at: 2025-12-09T05:51:35.428Z
  updated at: 2025-12-09T05:51:35.428Z
  conclusion:
    claim id: cmiy5qzyw000dg1vip22z5r9a
    text: Leading AI researchers believe that without intervention, advanced AI development poses existential risks within the next two decades.
  premises:
    claim id: cmiy5r0jh000fg1vi6mfa4q1s
    text: Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, and Stuart Russell—pioneers in deep learning—have publicly warned about AI existential risks.
    is implicit: false
  premises:
    claim id: cmiy5r148000hg1viiitygj16
    text: A 2023 survey of NeurIPS researchers found 36% believe AI poses a ≥10% chance of human extinction.
    is implicit: false
  premises:
    claim id: cmiy5r1ov000jg1vihff9rvs1
    text: The signatories of the AI safety statement represent over 50% of leading AI research institutions globally.
    is implicit: false
  scheme: Expert Opinion
    id: sch_b762e6397e33b630
    key: expert_opinion
    name: Argument from Expert Opinion
    canonical key: expert_opinion
    catalogue health:
      is argument pattern: true
      is dialogue meta: false
      is test placeholder: false
      canonical key: expert_opinion
      cluster tag missing: false
      fingerprint materialised: true
  critical questions:
    scheme key: expert_opinion
    total: 4
    unanswered:
      cq key: basis
      text: Is E’s assertion based on evidence?
      attack kind: UNDERMINES
      scheme key: expert_opinion
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: missing
    unanswered:
      cq key: bias
      text: Is E biased?
      attack kind: UNDERCUTS
      scheme key: expert_opinion
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: missing
    unanswered:
      cq key: consensus
      text: Do experts in D disagree on φ?
      attack kind: UNDERCUTS
      scheme key: expert_opinion
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: missing
    unanswered:
      cq key: domain_fit
      text: Is E an expert in D?
      attack kind: UNDERCUTS
      scheme key: expert_opinion
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: missing
  dialectical status:
    incoming attacks: 0
    incoming supports: 0
    incoming attack edges: 0
    critical questions required: 4
    critical questions answered: 0
    critical questions open: 4
    standing score: 0.5
    is tested: false
    testedness: untested
    standing state: untested-default
    standing depth:
      challengers: 0
      independent reviewers: 0
      confidence: thin
    fitness breakdown:
      total: 0
      weights:
        cq answered: 1
        support edges: 0.5
        attack edges: -0.7
        attack c as: -1
        evidence with provenance: 0.25
  deliberation: Ludics Forest Demo - Phase 1-4 Features
    id: ludics-forest-demo
  author:
    id: 12
    display name: Barthes
    kind: HUMAN
round trip soundness:
  scheme key: expert_opinion
  groups:
    ORDINARY:
      cq count: 4
      aif exposure: exposed
    ASSUMPTION:
      cq count: 0
      aif exposure: absent
    EXCEPTION:
      cq count: 0
      aif exposure: absent
  lossy: false

cmiy5qzyw000dg1vip22z5r9a
type: InformationNode
text: Leading AI researchers believe that without intervention, advanced AI development poses existential risks within the next two decades.

cmiy5r0jh000fg1vi6mfa4q1s
type: InformationNode
text: Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, and Stuart Russell—pioneers in deep learning—have publicly warned about AI existential risks.

cmiy5r148000hg1viiitygj16
type: InformationNode
text: A 2023 survey of NeurIPS researchers found 36% believe AI poses a ≥10% chance of human extinction.

cmiy5r1ov000jg1vihff9rvs1
type: InformationNode
text: The signatories of the AI safety statement represent over 50% of leading AI research institutions globally.

cmiy5xc040005g184fnhkvxpm
type: RA
type: expert opinion
uses scheme: expert_opinion
name: Argument from Expert Opinion
applies scheme key: expert_opinion

Premise
from: I:cmiy5r0jh000fg1vi6mfa4q1s
to: S:cmiy5xc040005g184fnhkvxpm

Premise
from: I:cmiy5r148000hg1viiitygj16
to: S:cmiy5xc040005g184fnhkvxpm

Premise
from: I:cmiy5r1ov000jg1vihff9rvs1
to: S:cmiy5xc040005g184fnhkvxpm

Conclusion
from: S:cmiy5xc040005g184fnhkvxpm
to: I:cmiy5qzyw000dg1vip22z5r9a

count: 0
weight: 1
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: 0.5
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: -0.7
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: -1
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: 0.25
contribution: 0