aif version: AIF-Core-2011
mesh aif profile: 1.0
exported at: 2026-08-30T19:16:52.042Z
attestation:
  identifier: UqKElrG4
  argument id: cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42
  permalink: https://www.isonomia.app/a/UqKElrG4
  version: 1
  immutable permalink: https://www.isonomia.app/a/UqKElrG4@7e4610abb6d104386000df0153b1e881cb16123936ab3080de6897d6700e72cb
  iso id: iso:argument:UqKElrG4
  iso url: https://www.isonomia.app/iso/argument/UqKElrG4
  retrieved at: 2026-08-30T19:16:51.870Z
  created at: 2026-05-04T21:20:58.703Z
  updated at: 2026-05-04T21:20:58.703Z
  conclusion:
    claim id: cmorperhc007n8cjzutwns3vi
    text: The post-2018 experimental evidence has strengthened rather than weakened the skeptical position on algorithmic causation of polarization.
  premises:
    claim id: cmorpesnt007p8cjz8vs75w1c
    text: Guess et al. (2023) found that replacing algorithmic feeds with chronological feeds for three months did not detectably change affective polarization.
    is implicit: false
  premises:
    claim id: cmorpetv6007r8cjzqf7loqvu
    text: Nyhan et al. (2023) found that reducing like-minded source exposure did not reduce affective polarization, ideological extremity, or candidate evaluations.
    is implicit: false
  premises:
    claim id: cmorpev1n007t8cjzumgl0hc1
    text: Guess et al. (2023) found that removing reshared content did not detectably affect political polarization despite substantially reducing political news exposure.
    is implicit: false
  scheme:
    id: cmoqrmr1e00068c7tl5hkvfj1
    key: statistical_generalization
    name: Argument from Sample to Population (Statistical Generalization)
    canonical key: statistical_generalization
    catalogue health:
      is argument pattern: true
      is dialogue meta: false
      is test placeholder: false
      canonical key: statistical_generalization
      cluster tag missing: false
      fingerprint materialised: true
  critical questions:
    scheme key: statistical_generalization
    total: 5
    unanswered:
      cq key: measurement_validity?
      text: Does the operational measure of F in the sample actually capture F as it is meant in the population-level claim?
      attack kind: UNDERMINES
      cq status id: cmorpeykh00828cjztrn8a73m
      scheme key: statistical_generalization
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      cq status enum: OPEN
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: open
    unanswered:
      cq key: representativeness?
      text: Is the sample actually representative of the target population on the dimensions that matter for F (demographics, behavior, time period, platform mix)?
      attack kind: UNDERMINES
      cq status id: cmorpeykh00838cjztwbsigai
      scheme key: statistical_generalization
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      cq status enum: OPEN
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: open
    unanswered:
      cq key: sample_size?
      text: Is the sample large enough to support the precision (margin m) being claimed?
      attack kind: UNDERCUTS
      cq status id: cmorpeykh00848cjzehffuk8s
      scheme key: statistical_generalization
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      cq status enum: OPEN
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: open
    unanswered:
      cq key: scope_of_generalization?
      text: Does the conclusion stay within the population P from which S was drawn, or does it overreach (different country, different time period, different platform)?
      attack kind: UNDERCUTS
      cq status id: cmorpeykh00858cjziarrlglp
      scheme key: statistical_generalization
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      cq status enum: OPEN
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: open
    unanswered:
      cq key: selection_effect?
      text: Was the sample drawn or recruited in a way that systematically biases the proportion of F (e.g., volunteer bias, opt-in panels, attrition)?
      attack kind: UNDERMINES
      cq status id: cmorpeykh00868cjzsm30yeml
      scheme key: statistical_generalization
      premise type: ORDINARY
      is scheme required: true
      inherited from parent scheme: false
      cq status enum: OPEN
      challenged: false
      challenge count: 0
      cq requires evidence: false
      cq burden: PROPONENT
      answer self canonical: false
      answer author kind: HUMAN
      status: open
  dialectical status:
    incoming attacks: 0
    incoming supports: 0
    incoming attack edges: 0
    critical questions required: 5
    critical questions answered: 0
    critical questions open: 5
    standing score: 0.5
    is tested: false
    testedness: untested
    standing state: untested-default
    standing depth:
      challengers: 0
      independent reviewers: 0
      confidence: thin
    fitness breakdown:
      total: 0
      weights:
        cq answered: 1
        support edges: 0.5
        attack edges: -0.7
        attack c as: -1
        evidence with provenance: 0.25
  deliberation:
    id: cmoqp0jzk00iu8c01gmg7qa68
  author:
    id: 139
    display name: Advocate B (bot)
    kind: HUMAN
round trip soundness:
  scheme key: statistical_generalization
  groups:
    ORDINARY:
      cq count: 5
      aif exposure: exposed
    ASSUMPTION:
      cq count: 0
      aif exposure: absent
    EXCEPTION:
      cq count: 0
      aif exposure: absent
  lossy: false

cmorperhc007n8cjzutwns3vi
type: InformationNode
text: The post-2018 experimental evidence has strengthened rather than weakened the skeptical position on algorithmic causation of polarization.

cmorpesnt007p8cjz8vs75w1c
type: InformationNode
text: Guess et al. (2023) found that replacing algorithmic feeds with chronological feeds for three months did not detectably change affective polarization.

cmorpetv6007r8cjzqf7loqvu
type: InformationNode
text: Nyhan et al. (2023) found that reducing like-minded source exposure did not reduce affective polarization, ideological extremity, or candidate evaluations.

cmorpev1n007t8cjzumgl0hc1
type: InformationNode
text: Guess et al. (2023) found that removing reshared content did not detectably affect political polarization despite substantially reducing political news exposure.

cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42
type: RA
type: statistical generalization
uses scheme: statistical_generalization
name: Argument from Sample to Population (Statistical Generalization)
applies scheme key: statistical_generalization

Premise
from: I:cmorpesnt007p8cjz8vs75w1c
to: S:cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42

Premise
from: I:cmorpetv6007r8cjzqf7loqvu
to: S:cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42

Premise
from: I:cmorpev1n007t8cjzumgl0hc1
to: S:cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42

Conclusion
from: S:cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42
to: I:cmorperhc007n8cjzutwns3vi

measurement validity?
type: CriticalQuestion
key: measurement_validity?
status: open

hasCriticalQuestion
from: S:cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42

representativeness?
type: CriticalQuestion
key: representativeness?
status: open

hasCriticalQuestion
from: S:cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42

sample size?
type: CriticalQuestion
key: sample_size?
status: open

hasCriticalQuestion
from: S:cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42

scope of generalization?
type: CriticalQuestion
key: scope_of_generalization?
status: open

hasCriticalQuestion
from: S:cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42

selection effect?
type: CriticalQuestion
key: selection_effect?
status: open

hasCriticalQuestion
from: S:cmorpewjz007w8cjzct8kiq42

count: 0
weight: 1
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: 0.5
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: -0.7
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: -1
contribution: 0

count: 0
weight: 0.25
contribution: 0