Conclusion

Had aggressive carbon pricing started in 2015, we would have 40% lower emissions today.

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Argument

⟨ ⟩Causal (If cause then effect)

Premises (3)

  • Ten additional years of high carbon prices would have shifted investment earlier.
  • Compound effects of early clean energy deployment are significant.
  • Models show early action is 3x more effective than delayed action.

Challenges & responses (0)

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Pending critical questions (2)

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  • Could another cause explain the effect?Open
  • Is this merely correlation (post hoc)?Open

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